On the 17th, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers issued the "13th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Automotive Industry". The planning opinions put forward eight development goals for the Chinese automobile industry in the “13th Five-Year Planâ€, one of which is “actively developing intelligent networked carsâ€.
Target setting for the next five years
The so-called intelligent networked car, the definition of the industry is: equipped with advanced vehicle sensors and other devices, integrated with modern communication and network technology, to achieve intelligent information exchange and sharing of vehicles and people, cars, roads, backgrounds, etc., with complex environmental awareness, intelligent decision-making, A new generation of cars that combine functions such as control and execution.
For the technology development of this new generation of cars, the United States, Japan and Europe have taken the lead.
In China, the development of intelligent networked vehicles has also been upgraded to the national strategic level, and set a timetable and road map.
"Made in China 2025", the intelligent network of cars as a key development direction with energy-saving and new energy vehicles. Not long ago, the country's first intelligent network car demonstration zone was also put into operation in Shanghai Anting Town.
"Made in China 2025" is clear: By 2020, master the overall technology of intelligent assisted driving and various key technologies, and initially establish an independent research and development system and production supporting system for intelligent networked vehicles. By 2025, master the overall technology of autopilot and various key technologies, establish a relatively complete independent research and development system, production supporting system and industrial cluster of intelligent networked vehicles, and basically complete the transformation and upgrading of the automobile industry.
The “13th Five-Year Plan†of the automobile industry set a goal for the development of intelligent networked vehicles: actively develop intelligent networked vehicles, and intelligent networked vehicles with driver assistance functions (level 1 automation) have a new vehicle penetration rate of 50%. The conditional automation (level 2 automation) of the car's new car penetration rate reached 10%, establishing the basis for the comprehensive promotion of intelligent network car.
"The two directions of automotive technology development are intelligent and networked. The combination of the two is called intelligent networked car, which combines the networked car with autonomous driving. The intelligent car automatically drives to achieve real industrialization. It will be a revolution in automotive technology.†The head of the Automotive Engineering Department of Tsinghua University explained that the development of intelligent networked vehicles not only conforms to the general trend of the development of the world automobile industry, but also is a powerful grasp of China’s automobile industry shifting to the middle and high end of the industrial chain. hand.
The policy environment for the development of intelligent networked vehicles is also being built.
Qi Guochun, deputy inspector of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will build an intelligent networked automobile development platform to promote complementarity and innovation of the industry chain, jointly develop and promote intelligent networked vehicles; improve the consumption environment and develop intelligent networked automotive applications. Accelerate the construction of laws and regulations such as quality and safety certification, and foster an intelligent networked automobile consumption environment.
Or become the most potential vent industry
According to the “13th Five-Year Plan†of the automobile industry, the research team of Galaxy Securities believes that the intelligent networked car will become the most popular wind export industry in the future.
The report released by this team predicts that the intelligent network will be initially commercialized by 2020, and the industry will face investment opportunities of 5-10 years in the future. Judging from the plans announced by major auto companies and Internet giants, 2020 will become the first year of commercialization of driverless vehicles, and has since entered explosive growth.
The research company IHS predicts that in 2025, the global sales of driverless cars will reach 230,000, and in 2035 it will reach 11.8 million. By then, the number of driverless cars will reach 54 million. Among them, the share in the Chinese market will reach 24%, the North American market is 29%, and Western Europe is 20%.
Tao Yiran, an auto industry analyst at Galaxy Securities, told reporters that at present, this industry is still in its infancy in China, and some market segments are still in a blank. The three core areas involved in intelligent networked vehicles - the ADAS system (Advanced Driver Assistance System), sensors and map navigation (network part) will benefit directly, and huge market space will be released.
According to reports, for example, the penetration rate of the ADAS system in China is only 2% to 3%. It is expected that this figure will increase to 10% in the next 5 years. In terms of sensors, the current sensor market with a scale of about 20 billion yuan benefits from the fact that smart assistants are sinking from high-end cars to low-end cars. In the next few years, the automotive sensor industry is expected to achieve rapid growth of 6% to 8%. At present, sensor technology is mainly monopolized by foreign countries, which means that the domestic industry means huge market space. In the field of map navigation, the duopoly pattern of four-dimensional map and Gaode is currently formed in the composition of maps. In terms of navigation, the Beidou system has been developed from military to civilian, and is expected to gradually replace the US satellite navigation system used by GPS, thus directly benefiting.
In fact, under the influence of the "Internet", domestic car companies and Internet giants have begun to deploy intelligent networked cars. For example, local car companies represented by Changan, FAW, Geely, etc. have started to develop related technologies a few years ago. In 2015, many national production cars have been equipped with driving assistance systems. BAT (Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent) is also laying out a high-precision map industry as a prerequisite for intelligent networked vehicles. Baidu is also engaged in driverless driving, and Ali is cooperating with SAIC to produce smart cars.
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