[China Native Pig Trading Network] Last year, my country's imports of breeding pigs dropped by 50%. Throughout 2014, the pig industry went green across the board, and the funds of raisers were too tight to renew sows. As a result, the breeding farm was suffering from the low sale of breeding pigs. A reporter from the Agricultural Wealth Collection found that binary sows originally sold for 1500-1800 yuan/head, now they are 1000-1200 yuan/head; purebred sows sold for 6000-8000 yuan/head, now they are discounted directly or indirectly, as long as 3000-4000 yuan/head. Most of the time, it is still hard to sell.
Breeding pigs are difficult to sell, and the business of introducing international breeds is particularly sluggish. In 2014, there was a report that China's imports of breeding pigs dropped sharply to more than 8,600 heads, a drop of over 50% compared with 2013, and the industry was in an uproar. The reason is that in addition to the mainstream opinion that the impact of the live pig market and the cause of the US epidemic, some people in the industry believe that this will be the beginning of the structural adjustment of China's pig industry, which may remove the label of a major country of introduction.
"Airplanes and banners" have the nature of "futures" regardless of the use of transnational introductions. "The real benefits of imported breeding pigs are two or three years after the introduction. The cycle is relatively long. It takes several months to order and transport. After the purchase, the first batch of purebred pigs will be produced in the second year, and binary hybrids will be produced in the fourth year. Only commercial pigs can be produced. Now the market is not good, the farmers’ confidence is insufficient, and many planned plans have been postponed.†According to Wang Yongwei, the service sales manager of Hypor South China, the introduction of a Dongguan customer last year was stranded due to shortage of funds. This year is also boring, and another Heshan customer originally wanted to import 300, but it was shelved because of lack of confidence and funds.
“Selling domestic pigs is actually selling airports and banners.†Zhang Shengxun, chairman of Guangdong Daguang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry Group, once said that the domestic pig breeding company’s advertising model is: get off the plane and pull a banner, which states which country you are from. How many pigs are cited by sex, more than who cited them, and who cited updates. Then after one and a half years of propagation, you can pay back by selling breeding pigs, and then introduce new breeds in a few years. By 2015, this model didn't seem to work anymore.
This phenomenon has spread in the pig industry in China. A source in the pig breeding industry revealed that the pig farms are now discounted, packaged for transportation, and even the original "overweight fee" (the weight of breeding pigs exceeds the average weight of breeding pigs on the market) is also exempted. "Some breeding pigs are raised to 200 catties. If they can’t be sold, they can only be raised as meat pigs for about 6 yuan per catty. This is not only a huge waste of purebred pigs, but also no growth compared to hybrid commercial pigs. Performance advantage."
"The main purpose of introducing GGP (great grandfather purebred pigs) in many domestic pig farms is not for breeding, but for expanding purebred pigs, selling binary hybrids, or using their own systems." Wang Yongwei believes that the normal domestic gene demand should be Within the scope of 10,000 imported breeding pigs, the number of introductions in recent years has exceeded that number. According to him, due to frequent imports of breeding pigs, some companies that fight for "foreign" and "quantity" have a hard time.
The bad market forced the pig farmers to adopt an objective and pragmatic attitude, and the introduction bubble burst. In late April 2015, the price of pigs seemed to follow the stock market and maintained a rising trend across the country. Some areas broke through the 7 yuan mark, but the price of breeding pigs that fell into "1000 yuan" did not rise simultaneously. , Most raisers still hold a wait-and-see attitude towards introduction.
Stop introducing sows, introducing pig essence, and introducing boars. In the past 10 years, China's large-scale transnational introduction of breeds has become the norm in the industry. The model of replacing breeding with introductions has become a way of making a living for some pig breeders, causing domestic companies to never go. A vicious circle of "degeneration-re-introduction-re-degeneration" is created. Some people in the industry ridicule: European and American breeding pigs are almost emptied for China. There are also opinions that the cost of importing an original pig of 20,000 to 30,000, plus a charter flight of 5,000 yuan per head, is very costly. China occupies a huge share of half of the global pig industry, and the model of relying heavily on imported breeding pigs for expansion is unsustainable.
Wang Yuping, chief representative of Pork-Ex Breeding Co., Ltd., who has been paying attention to the Danish pig industry for a long time, introduced that from 1992 to 2012, the PSY of Danish pig farms increased from 18 to 29, and the number of employees dropped from 30,000 to 3,900. A trend that cannot improve the overall benefits will inevitably be eliminated in the development process.
China is also facing this change. The pig industry will no longer pursue a single body size or litter size index, but will be refined to the cost and profit per pig and per catty of meat. "In the past, the Hong Kong market pursued the size of live pigs, which led to the orientation of domestic pig production, but now the price difference between the Hong Kong market and the mainland has become smaller, and this baton role will also be lost." Wang Yuping believes that domestic farmers will more carefully evaluate the high-priced introduction zone. The costs and benefits that come, have gradually recognized that many expensive transnational introductions are gimmicks.
Wu Zhijun, general manager of Guangxi Nongken Yongxin Animal Husbandry Group Co., Ltd. analyzed: "The era of nationwide raising pigs and selling breeding pigs will eventually pass. Large self-contained enterprises such as Wen's do not frequently introduce them. Those who can raise pigs do not need a large number of introductions. In fact, small and medium-sized pig farms cannot support the human, financial and material inputs required for breeding. According to my calculations, a pig breeding company must sell at least 7% of the breeding pigs to maintain it. For example, a company with 1,200 purebred pigs can produce 24,000 pigs per year. At least 1,500 (24000×7%) of breeding pigs must be sold. The current market is unlikely."
The reporter found that many traditional pig breeding companies focused on "meat pig" production. The well-known "Yongxin", "Acer" and "Ke Xinyuan" in the industry have all revealed this transformation idea to avoid the fierce competition in the pig breeding sector.
So what kind of companies will stay in the pig breeding position? Wang Yongwei believes that "branded and large system" companies will eventually become seed players in the pig breeding sector. Its large-scale, self-reproductive, and closed model requires a large number of breeding pigs to renew their blood. , But it will also adopt a restrained attitude towards the import of breeding pigs, and pay more attention to genetic exchanges rather than introducing adult breeds of pigs. “Whoever will introduce foreign breeds in the future, perhaps only professional breeding companies for breeding purposes and large-scale pig farms for their own use will meet , Even they will choose to introduce pig essence or breeding boars to implement the introduction of the introduced genes in a more economical way", Wang Yuping analyzes.
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