In the first half of 2014, 50 companies in the Chinese bus industry sold a total of 94,240 passenger cars over 5 meters, down 9.09% year-on-year, of which seat passenger cars (road passenger cars) fell 15.99%. Among them, large-sized passenger cars sold 14032 vehicles, down 15.58%, medium-sized sales 16,623, down 21.54%, light sales 14,990, down 9.47%. Experts believe that this overall decline in the passenger car sector, the impact of product-level factors such as product, marketing, management, etc. seems to be negligible, mainly due to large problems in market demand. What problems have arisen? How to break the game?
The policy is tightly tied to the passenger operation industry. Some of the policies that have had a major impact on the passenger operation industry have been introduced in recent years. For example, suspension of sleeper buses, double-doors of 9 meters or more, full load of 11 meters or more, and 1000 kilometers of long-distance lines are closed for approval. The rate is less than 70%, no new capacity is allowed, 2-5 points parking and rest, passenger transportation connection pilot, and a variety of work specifications, special rectification actions and safety years, safety month activities and other policies are more closely tied to the passenger operation industry. It's like "tightening the ropes together, not giving the chance to loosen the breath."
In fact, the more tied the policy is, the more serious the industry management department’s lack of understanding of the complexity of industry management. Such a layer of code will one day overwhelm the last straw of the road passenger operation industry. The ancients said: "Wenwu Road "One relaxation", if the state management department can not do a degree of relaxation, the decline of the road passenger operation industry will not be far away.
Unfavorable market factors have hit passengers In addition to policy factors, the impact of market factors seems to be more severe. First, after the introduction of the eight regulations, the rapid decline in public travel has caused heavy losses in tourist passenger transport. Secondly, the country’s economic growth has slowed down, especially the downturn of coastal export-oriented enterprises, which has reduced the mobility of migrant workers. Third, short-distance passenger transport. The impact of private cars is serious. Although some cities have introduced a policy of limited number, the booming trend of private cars is still unstoppable, and the shrinking of short-distance passenger transport is irreversible. Fourth, urban and rural passenger transport is gradually replaced by bus extensions to the suburbs. It is a policy adjustment, and the integration of urban and rural passenger transport has become a general trend. Affected by these factors, the demand for road passenger transport will continue to decline.
As far as the status quo is concerned, in the national comprehensive passenger transport system, the role of highway passenger transport is irreplaceable. From the perspective of passenger traffic, the proportion of passenger traffic on highway passengers accounts for more than 90%. From the perspective of passenger traffic, the passenger transport of highways The proportion also exceeds 50%. In the national comprehensive passenger transport system, highway passenger transport occupies a very prominent main position. The current predicament is the "pain" caused by the unreasonable allocation of resources. The government or policy needs to do its utmost to help the road passengers operate as soon as possible. Get out of this "pain".
The advantage of high-speed rail is obvious that road passenger transport is squeezed. The so-called: "Thirty years of Hedong, thirty years of Hexi." In the 1990s, due to the lag of railway construction, it brought opportunities for the rapid expansion of highway passenger transportation. However, after nearly 20 years of repairs, railway construction has completely reversed the situation of lagging development. The expansion of highway passenger transport will be suppressed. It can be said that the capacity of highway passenger transport in the late stage of development is bound to be blind and needs to be The price paid is that these costs will be "pay" by the entire industry, and all road passenger transport operators will be affected.
According to reports, the operating mileage of the high-speed rail has just exceeded 10,000 kilometers in 2013. Industry insiders pointed out that with the climax of railway investment, China's high-speed rail is about to enter the harvest period. In 2014, there will be 12 high-speed railways in operation, with a production mileage of 5,535 kilometers, plus 12 production projects in 2015. In the next two years, the total operating mileage will reach 8,087 kilometers. However, with the improvement of high-speed rail construction, the pressure on highway passenger transport will become more and more obvious.
There are multiple ways to crack the road passenger transportation dilemma Since 2013, in the communication and learning with many passenger transportation companies, we have made a summary of how to get out of the predicament for reference:
Method 1: Acquisition or participation in public transportation. Public transportation is the "pro-son" of the government's finances. Enterprises intervene in bus operations. From a certain perspective, it is equivalent to the "golden rice bowl."
Method 2: Actively participate in school bus operations. The School Bus Safety Management Regulations clearly stipulates that the four institutions involved in school bus operation are schools, passenger transport companies, bus companies, and third-party operating agencies that have passed the examination and approval. Among them, the school has neither energy nor strength, and the bus company disdains to participate (bus The company's drought and flood protection, why must bear the risk of school bus?), third-party agencies are difficult to pass the examination and approval, passenger transport companies have a unique condition for participating in school bus operations.
Method 3: Make full use of policies to develop rural passenger transport. The goals and tasks of the Ministry of Transport's urban-rural passenger transport integration policy are very clear.
Method 4: Adhere to the development of tourist passenger transport. Tourist passenger transport is an important part of the tourism industry and has a close connection with the tourism industry. The booming tourism industry has promoted the growth of tourist passenger transport, and the improvement and expansion of traffic roads and the advancement of passenger car technology have also had an important impact on the changes in tourism modes, especially in the medium and short-term tourism. Aircraft transportation is more flexible and more prominent.
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