The development blueprint of China's robot industry in the next ten years

Premier Li Keqiang pointed out in his 2015 government work report that to implement “Made in China 2025”, under the global context of the return of manufacturing to the United States and Germany’s concept of Industry 4.0, China Made 2025 will become a guideline for China’s transition from manufacturing to a manufacturing power. Sex file.

Under the guidance of the innovation-driven development strategy, the robot industry, known as the "Pearl of the crown of the manufacturing industry," is entering a policy honeymoon period. The implementation of "Intelligent Manufacturing Engineering Implementation Plan", "Thirteenth Five-Year Development Plan for Robot Industry" and "Robots Technology Innovation and Industry Promotion Plan" are all being accelerated.

"The Implementation Plan for Intelligent Manufacturing Engineering under preparation will focus on five core technology and equipment, including industrial robots, additive manufacturing equipment, smart sensing and control equipment, intelligent detection and analysis equipment, intelligent logistics and warehousing equipment, etc." Luo Baihui, a top expert in financial strategy, believes that investment and mergers and acquisitions of listed companies in the field of robotics will continue to take off due to strong policy promotion and huge market potential.

Industry chain will welcome policy red envelope

Industry experts generally believe that the "robot revolution" is expected to become an entry point and important growth point for the "third industrial revolution" and will affect the global manufacturing pattern. As early as last year’s conference of academicians of the two academies, the robotics industry has received high recognition and attention from the top management. General Secretary Xi Jinping said in his speech at the conference: "Since big data, cloud computing, mobile Internet, and other next-generation information technologies have accelerated the pace of integration with robotics technology, 3D printing and artificial intelligence have developed rapidly, and the hardware and software technologies of manufacturing robots are maturing. With continuous reduction in cost and continuous improvement in performance, military drones, self-driving cars, and housekeeping service robots have become a reality, and some artificial intelligence robots have a considerable degree of autonomous thinking and learning ability.There is a public opinion in the world that robots are “The pearl of the crown at the top of the manufacturing industry” is an important symbol for measuring the technological innovation and high-end manufacturing level of a country. The major robot manufacturers and countries have stepped up their layout and seize the commanding heights of technology and market. China will become a robot. The largest market, but our technology and manufacturing capabilities can not deal with this competition? We must not only raise the level of our robots, but also to occupy the market as much as possible."

At the beginning of November, General Secretary Xi Jinping further stated in his explanation on formulating the recommendations of the 13th Five-Year Plan: “We must use 2030 as a time node to deploy a number of major scientific and technological projects that reflect the country’s strategic intentions in smart manufacturing and robotics.”

In this context, the 2015 World Robot Conference, sponsored by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the China Association for Science and Technology, and the Beijing Municipal Government, will be held in Beijing from November 23 to November 25, with the theme of "cooperative, integrated, win-win, leading the smart society." It is reported that China is developing a "robot technology innovation and industry promotion plan" will be announced during the meeting.

Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Minister Miao Wei stated at the press conference of the National Office for Newcomers on November 5 that during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan” period, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will focus on upgrading the high-end equipment manufacturing industry, strategic emerging industries and traditional industries, and accelerate the building of a manufacturing powerhouse. In response, industry sources revealed that the role of the robotics industry plays a decisive role in these three key areas. The “13th Five-Year Plan for the development of the robot industry” is also under development and is expected to be released during the year. It is precisely because of the important position of the robot industry that the technical roadmap of the key areas of the “Made in China 2025” that was released before has made clear requirements for it.

It is understood that the “13th Five-Year Plan for Development of the Robot Industry” puts forward the main development directions of China’s robot industry in the next five years, including strengthening research on basic theory and common technology, enhancing the industrialization capabilities of self-owned brand robots and key components, and advancing The application demonstration of industrial robots and service robots, establishment and improvement of experimental verification of robots and construction of standards systems, etc. The plan also proposes to accelerate the development of the next generation of intelligent robots.

In order to implement the "Made in China 2025" and "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan" spirit, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is stepping up preparation of the "Intelligent Manufacturing Engineering Implementation Plan." The general idea of ​​the plan is to adhere to the principle of “market main body, government guidance, overall planning, classification and policy implementation, and key breakthroughs.” The key tasks of intelligent manufacturing engineering focus on the core content of “50-50”. Among them, the "five core technology and equipment" includes industrial robots, additive manufacturing equipment, smart sensing and control equipment, intelligent detection and analysis equipment, intelligent logistics and warehousing equipment; the "three basics" are intelligent manufacturing standards, core industrial software, Industrial network and information security system; "five new modes" include discrete digital manufacturing, process-based intelligent manufacturing, network collaborative manufacturing, personalized customization, and remote operation and maintenance services; "Ten areas of integrated application" is the first in China. 2025 clear-cut ten advantages and integrated innovation and application in strategic industries.

In addition, officials of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology recently stated that they will actively apply for a special construction fund to the National Development Bank and other countries, giving special attention to the intelligent transformation of the petrochemical industry. In this regard, analysts believe that: As an important part of smart manufacturing, robotics, if the National Development Bank's special funds involved, there may be similar national semiconductor fund to promote the integrated circuit.

Multi-dimensional layout of listed companies

At present, China has become the world's largest consumer market for industrial robots. With the increase in labor costs and global manufacturing upgrades, the robot industry will usher in a trillion market scale in the next 10 years. According to estimates by the Boston Consulting Group, the manufacturing costs in the United States in 2015 are only about 5% higher than in the Yangtze River Delta region of China and will be 2-3% lower than China's in 2018. Under the joint action of internal and external factors, the robotics industry is expected to rise to the national strategy. “The core components of domestic reducers, controllers, servo motors, etc., more than 90% of the market are controlled by the world’s top four robot giants such as FANUC, KUKA, ABB, Yaskawa Electric, etc., driven by the national security strategy, import substitution space It is broad.” Luo Baihui believes that priority areas for machine substitution include dangerous, harsh and harmful working environments (explosives, nuclear radiation, welding, polishing and grinding), labour-intensive processes (assembly, manual work), and labor-intensive types of work ( Forging, handling, high-precision, high-cleaning operations (semiconductor, flat panel display manufacturing), automatic production line cutting (machining, thermal processing), ultra-normal manufacturing (extremely high temperature, extremely low temperature, extremely high pressure). It is estimated that the average annual growth rate of Chinese industrial robots in 2015-2018 will be around 25%.

In Luo Baihui's view, "The development of the robot industry not only comes from policy promotion, but more importantly from the company's sense of self-identity and exploration and development." From the perspective of listed companies, the major trend in the past two years is to get involved in the robotics industry. The number of companies, their entry angles, investment and R&D depth are all increasing, and the related industry mergers and acquisitions have been one after another. On behalf of the company have new times, the race is smart, Yawei shares, Rui Qi shares.

In a recent survey conducted by investors in the field of robotics that implements a series of mergers and acquisitions, Xinshida said that the company’s robot body has three major characteristics. One is a completely autonomous technology controller and drive system, and the other is a complete ontology design capability. Complete from the core components - ontology - systems engineering - remote control of the information industry chain. Not long ago, the company just announced a fixed-income plan on September 11 and plans to purchase 100% equity of Huitong Technology and 49% of Xiaojiao Rongrong for a price of about RMB 1 billion to overweight the industrial robot business. The company stated that in the future, it will focus on the market expansion of robotic and motion control new products and the market layout of elevator internet of things, and regard it as the key development direction of the industry.

Yawei shares the use of the giants of the world to enter the robotics industry. According to the data, Yawei shares with German Muse, a subsidiary of KUKA Group, to develop joint ventures and joint ventures to introduce its advanced linear and horizontal multi-joint robotics technology. The joint venture established Yawei Muse Robot Manufacturing (Jiangsu) Co., Ltd. (51 companies % Shares); The joint venture company has successfully prototyped the prototype at the beginning of the year and has now taken orders from Kuka, Muse and Yawei. The company stated that the follow-up robot business development will depend on the operation of the joint venture company. According to the plan, Yawei shares will vigorously develop high-end, intelligent, automated packaged business and accelerate the development of linear and horizontal multi-joint robots and robot system integration services.

Saiwei Intelligence is dedicated to the research and development of special robots. On August 28, the company announced that its fully-owned subsidiary, Hefei Saiwei, is a smart R&D drone that is actively promoting the market and has signed orders with the military. According to the financial report, the company is currently developing underwater robots; and it is cooperating with the Business School of Anhui University of Technology to hold the Business School of Anhui University of Technology. It plans to use a combination of physical education and internet education to run schools. The company contributes 70 million yuan and accounts for 70% of the total. Equity.

The company's layout in the robotics field is also quite deep and has begun to take shape. The company relies on its own research and development control system technology, and joins hands with Shanghai Dongsheng to carry out the business of intelligent welding robots. It has developed and controlled through Ethernet and used hardware. The small robots in the industries, wood processing, and small machinery industries currently have three specifications of 3 kg, 5 kg, and 8 kg. It is reported that the company's welding robots are expected to complete small-scale pilot production in December and other types of research and development will be developed in the future. robot. In addition, the company said that it is optimistic about the opportunity of “machine substitution” and hopes to use welding robots as its starting point to break into the overall solution field of “intelligent factories”. It plans to use 1-2 years to build smart factories and promote them.

“China is in a period of economic transformation and upgrading. Intelligent manufacturing is the key to the replacement of old and new industries. Listed companies have a keen sense of smell in the industrial sector and capital operating strength. Their investments and breakthroughs in the robotics industry will have a huge impact. Related mergers and acquisitions will also become a hot spot for investment in the market.” Luo Baihui believes that the implementation of machine substitutions along the coast has become an irritant trend.

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