·Market market is not warming heavy truck dealers carefully stocked

This year's heavy truck market is not ideal, will there be hope for the spring of next year?

From the data of the China Automobile Association, from January to November, the cumulative sales of the heavy truck market was 399,000 units, down 27% year-on-year, almost falling by nearly 30%. Near the end of the year, the heavy truck market is unlikely to pick up again. Many people have begun to pin their hopes on the spring of next year.

But will it be better to start the market next year? How do dealers view the spring market next year? Will it start to actively stock up?

The market has not yet warmed up and is not optimistic about the opening of the spring next year.

"It is estimated that the sales volume of heavy trucks this year will be 545,000. Shaanxi Automobile expects the sales of heavy trucks next year to be basically the same as this year, with 550,000 vehicles." Just today (December 9th) Shaanxi Automobile 2016 Business Conference, Shaanxi Automobile Marketing Zhou Yinchao, general manager of the company, said this.

Similarly, at the end of last month, Jingjing, the general manager of FAW Jiefang Automobile Sales Co., Ltd., also expressed similar views on the other side: “The heavy truck market, the overall sales this year is almost 550,000, and it is expected that there will be no big next year. Growth, it is estimated that there will be a 5% increase, the annual sales to 600,000 or so, the main reason is that the overall economic situation is not good."

The same as Shaanxi Automobile and Liberation Forecast, most dealers did not feel that the market is picking up, and they are basically not optimistic about the spring market next year.

"Next year's market opening spring market, it should be relatively stable, there will be no obvious small climax, the sales volume will be relatively stable." Zhang Penghui, deputy general manager of Hefei Branch of the heavy truck sales department, judged that the company is responsible for managing the entire Anhui region. Steam dealer.

Zhang Penghui said that according to the laws of previous years, there will be a small climax in the market during the spring, but the market in 2015 is relatively flat, and the market has been deserted until October, when the user inquiry began to turn more, and it felt. The market began to enter the "thaw" stage, but there was no obvious sales growth, and the market did not really get better. "According to the 2015 market, there will be no big growth in sales in the spring of next year. It should be similar to the market at the end of the year and tend to be stable."

Zhang Xiaofeng, general manager of Lubei Branch of the heavy truck commercial vehicle sales department also said that from the current market situation, the market will not change much in the next spring, and there will be no high sales. “At present, there is still no sign of recovery in the heavy truck market.”

Wang Xianggui, a key account manager of Dongfeng Motors Sales and Service Co., Ltd., a Dongfeng commercial vehicle direct store in Foshan, Guangdong, also said that he is not optimistic about the heavy truck market in the spring of next year. "In addition to a few individual areas such as Jiangmen and Zhuhai (these regions will start to replace yellow-label vehicles next year), most markets in Guangdong will not be able to get better in the spring of next year. The current market situation is still not good."

Strengthen risk prevention, open spring, carefully stocking

Although from the data of the China Automobile Association, the heavy truck market fell by about 30% this year, but many of the regional declines far exceeded 30%, and even the “waist-down” fell by 50%, which caused many dealers not to watch the spring next year. Outside the market, it is also cautious about stocking in the spring.

"For the spring market next year, some dealers will do a certain stocking, but the amount will certainly not be large, and at most will be the sales reserve of one month, not more than two months; and the stocking is mainly road vehicles." Zhang Penghui said After the dealers have experienced the market that has undergone major changes in recent years, their awareness of risk prevention has been significantly strengthened, and they will become more rational in stocking. Vehicle sales will be based on pre-arrangement.

Zhang Penghui told Fang De.com that compared with the data of the China Automobile Association, the performance of the heavy trucks in Anhui Province in the first 11 months was even worse. “In the first 11 months, the number of heavy trucks in Anhui Province has dropped by about 50% compared with the same period of last year. Among them, the dump trucks fell the most, falling by about 70%; tractors fell by 4 or 50%; trucks fell 2 30%, the relative decline is less."

Compared with Anhui, this year's Guangdong heavy truck market is not bad. “In the first 11 months, the Guangdong heavy truck market fell by about 2% to 30%.” But Wang Xianggui also said that the company’s stocking volume at the beginning of next year will be lower than that of the previous year, and the stocking volume will not exceed the estimated sales volume of two months.

“From the data on the cards, in the first 10 months, the overall sales volume of heavy trucks in Shandong Province fell by about 30%.” Although the market in the region is down to the same level as the whole country, Zhang Xiaofeng is responsible for the management of heavy truck commercial vehicle dealers in Shandong Lubei. Be more cautious about stocking. "For the spring market next year, we require dealers not to stock up, and vehicle sales are based on pre-arrangement."

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