According to industry sources, the supply of diesel in East China, South China, and Northeast China is still tight. Many wholesale prices of oil products are equal to or even higher than retail prices, but the wholesale price in the Beijing market is relatively stable. Zhuochuang information data believes that according to the current trend of high international oil prices, the price adjustment window or open.
Many factors push up the wholesale price
Since the end of September 2010, the refined oil market has continued to be strong. At present, the wholesale price in many regions has been pushed to the maximum price. The wholesale price of diesel was pushed several times to 7100 yuan/ton to 7,200 yuan/ton. Driven by diesel, the wholesale price of gasoline in some regions also got rid of fatigue and showed upward trend.
“The diesel resources in some regions are severely strained and diesel has been stopped.†Analysts pointed out that in the short term, the situation of resource shortage in most regions in China will be difficult to ease.
"The growth in car sales and the strong growth in demand for diesel in the electricity and agriculture sectors are all driving up price expectations." Analysts said that although there is sufficient supply of gasoline and the demand has declined after the National Day, the international oil prices are high and "buy up and buy "Put down" psychological influence, the market demand for speculation is strong.
Sinopec's wholesale price of gasoline and diesel in Guangdong Province continued to rise. Gasoline rose by 40 yuan/ton, and Guosan Diesel rose by 20 yuan/ton. The wholesale price of certain types of diesel in Guangdong was pushed to the maximum retail price limit.
The rate of change in the three places approaches 4%
Since October 1, 2010, the international oil price has exceeded the psychological threshold of US$80/barrel, it has remained at a high level. Although it has declined in recent days, it has dropped back.
Smaller, the price is still maintained at more than 80 US dollars / barrel, which led to as of October 12 three-place crude oil movement weighted change rate close to 3%.
“As the rate of change in the three cities gradually increases and approaches 4%, the market's upward adjustment is expected to gradually increase.†Zhuo Chuang Information Analyst predicts that according to the current price trend, the rate of change will break through from October 15 to October 20. 4% possibility.
It is worth noting that at present all parties have very different views on the follow-up trend of international oil prices. According to Li Ningning, a research analyst at Zhuo Chuang, whether or not the rate of change in oil prices in the three places exceeded 4% in mid-to-late October, the largest variable is the economic level. Since the uncertainty of economic recovery remains strong, the dominant market is still risk aversion.
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