Are you familiar with the ups and downs of the 2016 corn market?

[ China Agricultural Machinery Industry News ] In 2016, the blink of an eye is coming to an end. In this year, the agricultural machinery industry is constantly developing, and the level of mechanization is constantly improving. In the industry, it is worth mentioning that the corn market has changed and developed in 2016. What are the hot words in the corn market throughout the year? Let's take a look at the 2016 corn market hot words to see if you have missed something?

Hot word one: price

On January 1, 2016, the average domestic corn market price was 1958.00 yuan / ton. It is estimated that the average domestic corn price will be 1,580 yuan / ton on December 31, 2016. The corn price in 2016 will fall by 378 yuan / ton, the range will be close to 20 %. The price of corn in 2016 has fallen by nearly RMB 400/ton!

Hot word two: stock

The corn inventory problem is also a very important issue. Since 2013, the stock of corn in the temporary storage has increased rapidly. As of October 16, 2015, the inventory exceeded 150 million tons. Now that Chen's corn stocks are abundant, new corn continues to be stored and stored, increasing the supply pressure on the corn spot market. In the short-term, the opening of the reserve has increased the corn market, the current market demand main body, and provided support for corn and starch prices, but this does not solve the problem of long-term backlog of corn stocks, and the contradiction of oversupply is still intensifying. Corn and starch empty orders need to be cautious, and in the case of the same trend, you can look for opportunities to rebound and sell. At the same time, focus on whether the acquisition criteria for the temporary reserve exceed expectations, in order to adjust the short position.

Hot word three: subsidies

Corn prices have fallen sharply and the inventory backlog has not yet been resolved. Under these issues, corn subsidies are particularly important. According to the subsidy announcement issued on July 19, the central government allocated a subsidy of 30,388.6 million yuan to the corn producers. In combination with the estimated planting area estimated in the August market supply and demand report of the National Grain and Oils Information Center, the subsidies for corn producers in the four northeastern provinces are equivalent to each. Mu subsidies should be between 120-136 yuan, equivalent to 246-328 yuan per ton.

In order to support the reform of the corn storage and storage system in the three northeastern provinces and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, the state has approved the approval of the State Council, and the central government allocated the second batch of corn producer subsidies of 900 million yuan, including 204.52 million yuan in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, 141.32 million yuan in Liaoning Province, and 224211 in Jilin Province. 10,000 yuan, Heilongjiang Province, 329,949,000 yuan.

Large-scale corn subsidies provide strength for farmers who grow corn, increase farmers' enthusiasm for selling grain, and reduce farmers' expectations for corn market prices.

Hot word four: corn harvester

In the first half of this year, due to the sharp drop in corn purchase and sales prices in the international market last year, the domestic corn purchase price was lowered, the country adjusted the corn planting structure and the agricultural equipment industry power emission standard switched to the national third-class factors, China's corn harvester market showed a cliff-like decline. The situation, market demand and product sales are much worse than those expected by the industry at the beginning of the year.

In the next two or three years, the corn harvester market still lacks the supporting elements of the Jedi rebound. However, in terms of the corn harvester industry segmentation, it is still difficult to cover the structural contradictions between supply and demand under the imbalance of supply and demand. As the mechanization process of corn crop production progresses in depth, corn grain harvesting machinery will become the future corn harvesting machinery. A “阆苑仙葩” in the industry and even in the entire agricultural equipment industry. In the rare new market opportunity that is coming, it is full of hopes and hopes, and the future is worrying.

At the same time, due to the relatively low overall level of corn harvesting in China, market demand still exists, especially for the reliable quality corn harvester products for mountainous hilly areas, and the market prospects are full of imagination.

According to industry insiders, this year's corn harvester market is facing the impact of the adjustment of agricultural machinery purchase subsidy policy, the reduction of corn planting area in the Bay of Sword Bay, the decline of corn prices, and the low reliability of agricultural machinery products. Challenges, many manufacturers face the problem of survival.

In 2016, the price of corn in the corn market has changed greatly, and the inventory problem has to be solved urgently. However, the state has increased the intensity of subsidies in regulation and control to ensure the enthusiasm of farmers. And what changes will happen in the upcoming 2017 corn market?

2017 corn market forecast

Due to the cancellation of the 2017 acquisition policy, the corn will be operated under the framework of “market acquisition + subsidy”. Liu Dong believes that the late market trend is mainly affected by market supply and demand. It is expected to remain relatively stable in the long term, but the staged fluctuations will increase the risk.

Specifically, the supply pressure of new grain in 2017 and the second quarter is relatively high. In addition, the national policy grain is released in the second quarter, and the overall price is expected to fluctuate downward. In the third quarter, the grain supply was relatively scarce, and the high price point was more likely to occur in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, new grain will be listed, supply will be loose, and prices will continue to fall.