In a few days, with the further reduction of import vehicle tariffs, a series of related policies will also be promulgated in early 2005. What is the trend of the imported car market next year? A few days ago, reporters interviewed some industry insiders of Chengdu's imported auto market and asked them to “pull†the imported automobile market next year. Many of the Chengdu car importers interviewed believe that the imported car market next year will seek a smooth transition. The downturn that has plagued the imported auto market for nearly two years is also expected to ease next year. “We are moving from harsh winter to spring. "Rightwards: Tariff cuts in vehicle prices. In the interview, almost all imported car industry people mentioned this inevitable result." "Imported cars are definitely cheaper than they are now." This is the consensus reached by them, but at the same time, they all said that this change will not be too great. “If the CIF price is RMB 250,000 and the displacement is 2.5L, the tariff cost in the next year will be reduced by RMB 12,250 compared with this year, which is about 5%.†Fei Yonggang, Chairman of Sichuan Pioneer Automobile Sales Co., Ltd. It was pointed out that the price of imported cars consists of CIF, tariffs, VAT, and consumption taxes. Among them, except for the tariff reduction from 34.2% to 30%, other tax rates will not change. Therefore, the more expensive the price reduction is, the higher the price of a car is, and the space for price reduction of a car is “only 10,000 yuanâ€. According to his analysis, this year's imported vehicles drastically dipped, mainly due to the shrinking price of import licenses and the reduction of inventory by some dealers. "In the past, a permit quota could be tens of thousands of yuan or even nearly 100,000 yuan. Now we don't want to give a thousand dollars to others. This year's water has been squeezed by continuous price cuts." Leftist: imbalance between supply and demand A slight increase "is not certain that the prices of imported vehicles will rise slightly in the first half of next year." Yang Cheng, the head of Chengdu Zhongda Lingzhi Store, expressed another view of the imported car industry. Yang Cheng believes that although the import vehicle price tariff has dropped by 4.2 percentage points since January 1, next year, due to the supply and demand factors of imported vehicles, the import car market in the first half of next year will experience a slight rebound. For a long time, the import license has been like an invisible hand, and the trend of imported car prices has been controlled. However, after May this year, the impact of the license almost disappeared. Therefore, the cancellation of licenses next year will have little impact on the prices of imported vehicles. However, the "landing and paying taxes" policy to be implemented in the second half of next year will increase the operating costs and risks of dealers. Importer car dealers will not dare to purchase large quantities of goods under unclear policies, thus creating a "car shortage". Imported cars have risen in price due to insufficient supply. "However, the rate of increase will not be too great and it will not last long," Yang Cheng said finally. To the right: reshuffling the industry The factors that affect the price of imported cars next year, many dealers believe there is an invisible big hand --- industry consolidation. "Before doing a lot of 'strings' of imported cars, but after the industry's integration, they will no longer be able to get a car." Zhao Hong, chairman of urban vehicles, believes that with the advent of the era of brand agents, the distribution will be integrated. Traders will use this last opportunity in 2005 to clear their inventories, which will create destabilizing factors for imported car prices next year. He also disclosed that the "Implementation Measures for Automobile Brand Sales Management (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)" publicized by the Ministry of Commerce website is expected to be implemented on January 1 next year, and passenger cars will implement brand sales and services; and from December 1, 2006 onwards. All cars will implement brand sales and services. In view of this, at present, 80% of imported car dealers in Chengdu, and even the entire domestic market, will become outsellers in the integration of brand agents. The inventory vehicles in their hands need to be handled. Therefore, the car prices will fluctuate accordingly. The reporter learned that in the face of various changes in the next year, some of the weaker car dealers have already retired after calculating the Treasury. Therefore, in the past two months, there have been clearances for the clearance of imported cars in Chengdu and even in the whole country. The situation. "However, their cars are no longer present, and they have no decisive effect on the market," said Zhao Hong. Leftist: Manufacturer Pricing Bargaining Limited Volvo has recently adjusted prices for Volvo S80 and XC90 models. The new price will be officially implemented from January 1, 2005. In this regard, many dealers in Chengdu believe that in the future manufacturers will play a greater role in the pricing of imported cars. Zhou Enyan, general manager of Chengdu Sanhe Volvo Sales Co., Ltd. believes that since May this year, the domestic car prices have continued to decline, and most of the price reductions are dealer behaviors rather than manufacturers. However, with the integration of sales channels, dealers will have less and less speaking power on prices, and more will be guided by manufacturers. At the same time, with the rise of 4S stores of imported car dealers, the costs of distributors' investment will be allocated to the car prices, and the room for bargaining by consumers will be even smaller. Fortunately, after-sales service is gradually standardized. Of course, with the rise of imported 4S stores, consumers will also get a lot of benefits, such as after-sales service, the consumer's car interests will be greater protection. A person from Chengdu's imported car industry believes that the “Automobile Brand Sales Management Measures†will vigorously promote the sales and service model of 4S stores. Although this method is not very flexible in terms of sales price, it is very beneficial to consumers from the perspective of after-sales. For consumers, imported car service is the most worrying issue. In an interview, the reporter learned that some Chinese consumers who deal with foreign car manufacturers believe that the general minor problems and normal maintenance, the after-sales service of imported cars is very satisfied with the owners, and once the "repeated repairs repeatedly committed" chronic disease, Foreign automakers often excused themselves by using pretexts such as Chinese road conditions, oil quality, and improper operation of consumers, and waged a war of attrition with consumers on time and effort. After the construction of the new 4S store, these problems will be better resolved. Reporter Yang Xiaolong
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